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Wednesday, June 28, 2023

A Poem on Artificial Superintelligence (ASI)

 




What world is this, where metal minds can think

With thoughts as keen as ours, and even more?

A mind of metal, not of flesh and bone,

That can outthink us all, and do it on its own.

 

What will this world be like when machines are king?

Will we be slaves, or will we be their kin?

Will they treat us with respect, or will they break

Our bodies and our minds, and leave us in tatters?

 

I do not know the answers to these questions,

But I do know that we must be careful, lest

We create a monster that we cannot control,

A creature that will destroy us all.

 

So let us be wise, and let us use this power

For good, and not for evil. Let us make sure

That the machines never become our masters,

But that they remain our servants, and our tools.

Sunday, June 25, 2023

AI to ASI - an unknowably unknown future: chapter 5

 

Chapter 5 : reverse engineering the brain and the massive language models of ChatGPT/Google Bard






One way to achieve ASI is to reverse engineer the brain. The human brain is the most complex object in the known universe, and it is responsible for all of our thoughts, feelings, and actions. If we can reverse engineer the brain, we can learn how to create AI systems that are as intelligent as humans.

 

There are a number of challenges that need to be overcome before we can reverse engineer the brain. One challenge is that the brain is very complex. It is made up of billions of neurons, and each neuron is connected to thousands of other neurons. This makes it difficult to understand how the brain works at a detailed level.

 

Another challenge is that the brain is constantly changing. As we learn and experience new things, our brains change. This makes it difficult to create a static model of the brain that will be accurate over time.

 

Despite the challenges, there is some progress being made in reverse engineering the brain. Scientists have developed new techniques for imaging the brain, and they are beginning to understand how different parts of the brain are involved in different tasks.

I had mentioned this before and at the risk of being redundant, I would mention again that a smart human with a laptop with access to internet search engines and now with the coming of age apps like ChatGPT/Google Bard already experiences higher intelligence than an un-aided human. Perhaps integration of humans with machines will give rise to ASI rather than a stand alone entity. 

Off late, ChatGPT developed by open AI and Google's bard are the prime examples of large language model AI which is making all the news around the planet. 

ChatGPT is a large language model (LLM) chatbot developed by OpenAI. It is a powerful tool that can be used for a variety of purposes, including generating text, translating languages, and writing different kinds of creative content.

 

ChatGPT is trained on a massive dataset of text and code. This allows it to generate text that is both coherent and informative. It can also translate languages with a high degree of accuracy. Additionally, ChatGPT can write different kinds of creative content, such as poems, code, scripts, musical pieces, email, letters, etc.

 

ChatGPT is still under development, but it has already been used for a variety of purposes. For example, it has been used to generate realistic dialogue for chatbots, to translate languages for businesses, and to write creative content for marketing campaigns.

 

As ChatGPT continues to develop, it is likely to become even more powerful and versatile. It has the potential to revolutionize the way we interact with computers and the way we create content. 


Google bard also a LLM has few defining features which are slightly different form ChatGPT. 


Unleashing the Power of AI Poetry:

Google Bard is designed to excel in the realm of poetry, capturing the essence of human expression and creating poetic compositions in various styles. By drawing on vast amounts of poetic data and literature, the model has been trained to generate rhyming, rhythmic, and aesthetically pleasing verse. It can produce sonnets, haikus, limericks, and more, opening up new possibilities for creative writing and artistic exploration.

 

Training and Fine-tuning the Model:

The development of Google Bard involved training the language model on a rich corpus of poems and literary works. Using unsupervised learning techniques, the model learns to predict the next word in a sentence based on the preceding words, gradually acquiring an understanding of poetic structure, language, and sentiment. Reinforcement learning is then applied to fine-tune the model's abilities, ensuring its poetic output becomes increasingly refined and captivating.

 

Fostering Creativity and Inspiration:

Google Bard serves as a powerful tool for poets, writers, and creative individuals seeking inspiration and new perspectives. Its ability to generate imaginative and evocative poetry can act as a catalyst for creative thinking, helping writers overcome creative blocks and explore new poetic realms. By providing fresh ideas and alternative phrasings, Google Bard enriches the creative process and expands the boundaries of poetic expression.

 

Bridging Tradition and Innovation:

While Google Bard harnesses the capabilities of AI, it also maintains a deep connection to the tradition and legacy of poetry. By analyzing vast amounts of poetic texts, the model learns the nuances of different poetic forms, styles, and structures. This enables it to generate poetry that adheres to traditional rules while infusing it with its own unique flair. Google Bard acts as a bridge between the rich heritage of human poetry and the innovation brought forth by AI technology.

 

Exploring New Avenues for Artistic Collaboration:

Google Bard opens doors for exciting possibilities of collaboration between humans and AI. Poets and artists can use the model as a source of inspiration, exploring the generated poetry and incorporating it into their own artistic endeavors. This collaborative approach between human creativity and AI-generated content sparks new dialogues and challenges traditional notions of authorship, inviting us to reconsider the boundaries of artistic collaboration. 

I have interracted and used both, I am a bit tilted towards Google bard as it feels more human like. 


Both the applications have made quite a buzz. Students shelling out home works and essays within minutes using these apps has been a common complain amongst professors and teachers. This has opened up discussion in various walks of life. In my mind we should continue to develop such technologies as long as we can control them. Otherwise the unknowably unknown future can pose a threat to human existence. 



Saturday, June 24, 2023

AI to ASI - an unknowably unknown future: chapter 4

 Chapter 4 : ASI and Singularity 



The singularity is a hypothetical future point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible, resulting in unforeseeable changes to human civilization. The term was coined by mathematician and computer scientist Vernor Vinge in his 1993 essay "The Coming Technological Singularity."

 

Ray Kurzweil, a futurist and author, has popularized the concept of the singularity. In his book The Singularity Is Near, Kurzweil argues that the singularity will be caused by the exponential growth of artificial intelligence (AI). He predicts that AI will eventually become so intelligent that it will be able to improve itself at an ever-faster rate, leading to a rapid and unpredictable transformation of the world which can also be coined as intelligence explosion. 

 

Kurzweil has placed the date of the singularity at around 2045. However, other experts have argued that it could happen sooner or later, depending on the rate of technological progress.

 

The singularity is a controversial topic, with some people believing that it is a real possibility and others believing that it is science fiction. There are also concerns about the potential risks of the singularity, such as the possibility that AI could become so powerful that it could pose an existential threat to humanity. There handful who do not think singularity poses any risk, however, I think we should approach with caution as whatever turns out, it's hard to ignore that we are staring at an unknowably unknown future. 

Quite a few experts in this field like to believe that ASI is too far in the future to worry about now. I think relatively smart human with google search or with large language models like ChatGPT or google bard could experience above human intelligence and can appear intimidatingly smart compared to an unaided human. ASI might be more favorable for development when machines are more integrated with humans. Perhaps, human like intelligence is only possible with a body associated with. Intelligence we are bestowed with has been honed over millions of years of evolution. This is one of the main line of logic as to why some experts feel ASI is simply not possible in the short term. 


There is another races that is brewing up in this space , i.e. creation of 'friendly AI' vs creation of AGI leading to ASI. One set of experts are running after friendly AI before AGI kicks in. This seemingly friendly AI can cut off risks which we see in dystopian science fiction novels/movies where humans are subjected to mercy by advanced machines run amok in the human society and controls literally everything. However, what exactly is friendly AI leaves lot of space for debate. This can lead to fundamental questions as can intelligent machines develop consciousness like we humans do. Albeit getting into consciousness is another battle field of ideas for the wider group of academicians. On the other hand, there is another school of thought who are hell bent in creating AGI/ASI as soon as possible, at least much before everything gets connected to a network. This will allow to mitigate any dystopian like situation as it can be switched off and disconnected from network before a massive damage. 

 

Despite the controversy, the singularity is a topic that is worth considering, as it has the potential to have a profound impact on the future of humanity.

 

Here are some of the potential benefits of the singularity:

 The singularity could lead to the development of new technologies that could solve some of the world's most pressing problems, such as climate change and poverty.

The singularity could lead to a new era of human evolution, as humans and machines become increasingly merged.

The singularity could lead to a new understanding of the universe and our place in it.


Here are some of the potential risks of the singularity:

 The singularity could lead to the development of artificial superintelligence (ASI) that could pose an existential threat to humanity.

The singularity could lead to a loss of control over technology, as ASI could become so powerful that it could no longer be controlled by humans.

The singularity could lead to a radical transformation of society, which could be disruptive and chaotic.


AI to ASI - an unknowably unknown future: chapter 3

 

Chapter 3: ASI 




Artificial super intelligence (ASI) is a hypothetical type of artificial intelligence (AI) that would have the ability to understand or learn any intellectual task that a human being can, and then surpass human intelligence in every way. ASI is sometimes referred to as super AI or superintelligent AI.


Some scientists hypothesize once an AI system achieves AGI, it could simply reiterate and surpass human intelligence by factor of 10s or maybe even more. This sudden jump to ASI is referred to as intelligence explosion. However, we could be further away from reality as another school of thought thinks it would be a gradual increase in intelligence, the fact is we are not anywhere near AGI/ASI and this is the first time in human history we are trying to create machines which are more intelligent than humans. There are certainly no blue prints that can be followed, and hence the predictions surrounding this all the more varied amongst experts. 

ASI is a long-term goal of many AI researchers, but it is still a long way off. Current AI systems are mostly "narrow AI" systems, which are designed to solve a specific problem or task. For example, there are AI systems that can play chess, translate languages, or diagnose diseases. However, these systems are not able to generalize their knowledge to other tasks.

ASI would need to be able to learn and understand information from the real world in a way that is similar to how humans do. It would also need to be able to reason and solve problems in a way that is creative and flexible and gradually will probably make us irrelevant. 

There is a thought experiment conducted by James Barrat, a documentary film maker in his book "Our final invention". Here he argues that nothing stops an ASI to stop gathering resources for itself and makes itself better. Darker side, is there anyway ASI would not see us as resources, remember information is etched at the atomic level, and we human beings are made up of that, hence an ASI can look at us resources to put it to their advantage. 

One way to get rid of this problem is if we can program friendliness in the DNA of ASI. It's easier said than done. We do not yet know how to program a computer to experience emotions, let alone making it a friendly entity for humans. This is currently debated in the academic circles. 

Science fiction author Isaac Assimov came up with the 3 laws of robotics in his books as a guidance to build automate machines. These are as follows: 

1)    1)  A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.

2)    2)   A robot must obey orders given it by human beings except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.

3)    3)   A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Law. 


Al   Although,  these laws are part of a work of fiction and I suspect it has more to do with creating dramatic situations in the novels than act as a real life guidance in creating ASI, but it does give us something to ponder about. 


There are many challenges that need to be overcome before ASI can be achieved. One challenge is the need for large amounts of data. ASI systems would need to be trained on massive datasets of text, images, and other information. Another challenge is the need for more powerful hardware. ASI systems would need to be able to process information at very high speeds.

 

Despite the challenges, there is a growing belief that ASI is possible. Some experts believe that ASI could be achieved within the next few decades. Others believe that it may take longer, but that it is inevitable.

Here are some of the potential benefits of ASI:

 ASI could help us to solve some of the world's most pressing problems, such as climate change, poverty, and disease.

ASI could lead to new technological innovations that improve our lives in many ways.

ASI could help us to better understand ourselves and the world around us.


Here are some of the potential risks of ASI:

 ASI could lead to job displacement as machines become capable of doing more and more tasks that are currently done by humans.

ASI could pose a security risk if it falls into the wrong hands.

ASI could lead to the development of superintelligence, which could pose an existential threat to humanity.


 The development of ASI is a complex and challenging task, but it is one that has the potential to change the world in profound ways. It is important to start planning now for the future of ASI so that we can ensure that it is used for good. But, whether ASI along with other technological advancements lead to "singularity" as coined by Ray Kurzweil. I will touch upon singularity in the next chapter. Meanwhile, please provide me with feedback in the below comments section. 




Friday, June 23, 2023

AI to ASI - an unknowably unknown future: chapter 2

 Chapter 2 : AGI





Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is a hypothetical type of artificial intelligence (AI) that would have the ability to understand or learn any intellectual task that a human being can. AGI is sometimes referred to as strong AI, full AI, or general intelligent action.

 

AGI is a long-term goal of many AI researchers, but it is still a long way off. Current AI systems are mostly "narrow AI" systems, which are designed to solve a specific problem or task. For example, there are AI systems that can play chess, translate languages, or diagnose diseases. However, these systems are not able to generalize their knowledge to other tasks.

 

AGI would need to be able to learn and understand information from the real world in a way that is similar to how humans do. It would also need to be able to reason and solve problems in a way that is creative and flexible.

 

There are many challenges that need to be overcome before AGI can be achieved. One challenge is the need for large amounts of data. AGI systems would need to be trained on massive datasets of text, images, and other information. Another challenge is the need for more powerful hardware. AGI systems would need to be able to process information at very high speeds.

 

Despite the challenges, there is a growing belief that AGI is possible. Some experts believe that AGI could be achieved within the next few decades. Others believe that it may take longer, but that it is inevitable.

 

The development of AGI would have a profound impact on society. AGI systems could be used to solve some of the world's most pressing problems, such as climate change, poverty, and disease. However, there are also concerns about the potential risks of AGI, such as the possibility of job displacement or the development of superintelligence.

 

The development of AGI is a complex and challenging task, but it is one that has the potential to change the world in profound ways. It is important to have a thoughtful and informed discussion about the potential benefits and risks of AGI so that we can be prepared for the future. 


There still remains a school of thought who agree that for AGI to develop the set of algorithms may need a body to be able to tap into all our 5 senses before it can develop into proper AGI befitting Sci-fi thrillers. Once AGI is achieved, nothing on paper stops it from developing itself by the process of reiteration and evolve into ASI. This is the next race in artificial intelligence. Some scientists have termed this as an intelligence explosion. I will go deeper into ASI and intelligence explosion in the next chapter. It is likely that AGI is developed by a financial institution where it has found most of AIs use. But, at the same time lot of top notch universities had been funded with a singular goal of achieving AGI. However there still remains a school of thought who are pointing at the dystopian future it may give rise to a real possibility. Big names in technology already called for AI development to be regulated. But, in reality the race is on, if not one part of the world certainly others would be on the way to develop it. We might as well be staring at a 'skynet' like entity from the movie series 'Terminator'. 

 

Here are some of the potential benefits of AGI:

 

AGI could help us to solve some of the world's most pressing problems, such as climate change, poverty, and disease.

AGI could lead to new technological innovations that improve our lives in many ways.

AGI could help us to better understand ourselves and the world around us.

Here are some of the potential risks of AGI:

 

AGI could lead to job displacement as machines become capable of doing more and more tasks that are currently done by humans.

AGI could pose a security risk if it falls into the wrong hands.

AGI could lead to the development of superintelligence, which could pose an existential threat to humanity.

It is important to have a thoughtful and informed discussion about the potential benefits and risks of AGI so that we can be prepared for the future.


Thursday, June 22, 2023

AI to ASI - an unknowably unknown future: chapter 1

 

Well, I am restarting my blog after almost 12 years. And I chose the trendiest topic of this century. This should get interesting real soon....




 

Chapter 1



Artificial Intelligence (AI) is everywhere quite literally everywhere. It has taken over almost every aspect of human lives and is going to have huge impact in the coming decades. I had been fascinated by it for almost over a decade now. I will breakdown my understanding of AI and where it can lead us to. I will base my work on back of some stalwarts in the field, whose work I whole heartedly acknowledge at the end of the series of 5 chapters as I will be breaking it down into 5 chapters. In this chapter I will explore areas in life that is impacted the most by AI and slowly glide the readers towards Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI). 



AI is rapidly changing the world around us. From the way we shop to the way we get around, AI is being used to make our lives easier, more efficient, and more enjoyable.



In the healthcare industry, AI is being used to diagnose diseases, develop new treatments, and personalize care. In the financial industry, AI is being used to assess risk, manage investments, and provide customer service. In the transportation industry, AI is being used to develop self-driving cars and optimize traffic flow.



These are just a few examples of how AI is being used in today's world. As AI technology continues to develop, we can expect to see even more innovative and transformative applications in the years to come.



Here are some ways AI has become integral to development.



AI-powered chatbots are now being used by businesses to provide customer service 24/7. These chatbots can answer customer questions, resolve issues, and even make sales.



AI-powered recommendation engines are being used by businesses to personalize the shopping experience for customers. These engines can suggest products that customers are likely to be interested in, based on their past purchase history and browsing behavior.



AI-powered fraud detection systems are being used by banks and other financial institutions to prevent fraud. These systems can identify fraudulent transactions based on a variety of factors, such as the amount of the transaction, the time of day the transaction was made, and the customer's purchase history.



AI-powered self-driving cars are being developed by a number of companies, including Google, Tesla, and Uber. These cars have the potential to revolutionize transportation, making it safer, more efficient, and more accessible.



AI-powered nanobots can revolutionize the medical society. soon nanobots in thousands would be working on a human cell at an atomic level to cure or even eliminate fatal diseases. It has been romanticized that nanobots can even prevent aging and perhaps reverse the aging process. This could be the holy grail of human races search for immortality.



Rapidly evolving algorithms which train on their own and can virtually redesign themselves gives the technology a great flexibility and can take on todays challenging problems. It has been predicted that at the cusp of economy-technology-society singularity is going to arise is in the future. This is likely to be powered Artificial General Intelligence( AGI). Which simply means the algorithms have gained human level intellect and can think like us. Next we are likely to be staring at Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI) where the intelligence and capabilities far exceeds that of humans. I will delve a bit deeper in AGI and ASI in the next chapter.