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Friday, June 23, 2023

AI to ASI - an unknowably unknown future: chapter 2

 Chapter 2 : AGI





Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is a hypothetical type of artificial intelligence (AI) that would have the ability to understand or learn any intellectual task that a human being can. AGI is sometimes referred to as strong AI, full AI, or general intelligent action.

 

AGI is a long-term goal of many AI researchers, but it is still a long way off. Current AI systems are mostly "narrow AI" systems, which are designed to solve a specific problem or task. For example, there are AI systems that can play chess, translate languages, or diagnose diseases. However, these systems are not able to generalize their knowledge to other tasks.

 

AGI would need to be able to learn and understand information from the real world in a way that is similar to how humans do. It would also need to be able to reason and solve problems in a way that is creative and flexible.

 

There are many challenges that need to be overcome before AGI can be achieved. One challenge is the need for large amounts of data. AGI systems would need to be trained on massive datasets of text, images, and other information. Another challenge is the need for more powerful hardware. AGI systems would need to be able to process information at very high speeds.

 

Despite the challenges, there is a growing belief that AGI is possible. Some experts believe that AGI could be achieved within the next few decades. Others believe that it may take longer, but that it is inevitable.

 

The development of AGI would have a profound impact on society. AGI systems could be used to solve some of the world's most pressing problems, such as climate change, poverty, and disease. However, there are also concerns about the potential risks of AGI, such as the possibility of job displacement or the development of superintelligence.

 

The development of AGI is a complex and challenging task, but it is one that has the potential to change the world in profound ways. It is important to have a thoughtful and informed discussion about the potential benefits and risks of AGI so that we can be prepared for the future. 


There still remains a school of thought who agree that for AGI to develop the set of algorithms may need a body to be able to tap into all our 5 senses before it can develop into proper AGI befitting Sci-fi thrillers. Once AGI is achieved, nothing on paper stops it from developing itself by the process of reiteration and evolve into ASI. This is the next race in artificial intelligence. Some scientists have termed this as an intelligence explosion. I will go deeper into ASI and intelligence explosion in the next chapter. It is likely that AGI is developed by a financial institution where it has found most of AIs use. But, at the same time lot of top notch universities had been funded with a singular goal of achieving AGI. However there still remains a school of thought who are pointing at the dystopian future it may give rise to a real possibility. Big names in technology already called for AI development to be regulated. But, in reality the race is on, if not one part of the world certainly others would be on the way to develop it. We might as well be staring at a 'skynet' like entity from the movie series 'Terminator'. 

 

Here are some of the potential benefits of AGI:

 

AGI could help us to solve some of the world's most pressing problems, such as climate change, poverty, and disease.

AGI could lead to new technological innovations that improve our lives in many ways.

AGI could help us to better understand ourselves and the world around us.

Here are some of the potential risks of AGI:

 

AGI could lead to job displacement as machines become capable of doing more and more tasks that are currently done by humans.

AGI could pose a security risk if it falls into the wrong hands.

AGI could lead to the development of superintelligence, which could pose an existential threat to humanity.

It is important to have a thoughtful and informed discussion about the potential benefits and risks of AGI so that we can be prepared for the future.


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